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NRL Betting Tips Round 23: Key Stats for Sunday footy

  • Author: Mick Gannon
  • Aug 19, 2018 12:57 PM
  • AAP

Hoodoos threaten NRL favourites on Sunday

Bulldogs v Warriors

NRL Odds: Canterbury Bulldogs $2.42 (+4.5) / New Zealand Warriors $1.57 (-4.5)

The Bulldogs, hoping to avoid their first wooden spoon since 2008, will look to young-gun Lachlan Lewis to help produce the goods on Sunday at ANZ Stadium. 

The Doggies were in good form before Lewis succumbed to injury, resulting in him missing last week's game. With him in the line-up, the Dogs have shown plenty of bite, defeating top-eight contenders the Tigers and Broncos in consecutive weeks. 

The Warriors, with a consistent seven wins from 11 away games this season, will start firm favourites for this clash. Off the back of a strong win in Auckland against Newcastle last week, the Kiwis have their sights set firmly on a top-four position. 

The spine of Tuivasa-Scheck, Green, Johnson and Luke has found form in recent weeks, especially Isaac Luke, who has had few injury concerns this season.

With Luke back to full fitness, the Warriors are a force to be reckoned with. 

Warriors fans beware. Your team hasn't beaten the Bulldogs in Sydney since 2010 and will need to break an eight-year hoodoo this weekend for a chance at a top-four birth.

NRL Player In  L Lewis (Bulldogs)

NRL Player Out  M Frawley (Bulldogs)

NRL Weather  Fine and 16 degrees.

NRL Stats  Key NRL stats

  • Average points scored: Bulldogs 24.5 / Warriors 15.7
  • Average points conceded: Bulldogs 23.7 / Warriors 17.5
  • The Bulldogs have won three of their last five games against the Warriors

NRL Betting Tip Key NRL Betting Stats

  • 8 of the Warriors 13 wins have been by a margin of 1-12: Warriors 1-12+@ $3.00
  • Solomone Kata (3) leads the Warriors in first try scorers this season: Solomone Kata first try @ $13
  • Clashes at ANZ Stadium have averaged 35.7 total match points: Under match line of 42.5 points @ $1.90

NRL Betting Tip  NRL Betting Tip: New Zealand Warriors to win by a margin of 1-12@$3.00

Reasoning: There is no doubt that the Dogs are a better side with Lewis at five-eighth. However, with finals footy around the corner you'd expect an in-form Warriors to come out on top. 

 

Missed our preview of Super Saturday? Read it here

 

Raiders v Roosters

NRL Odds: Canberra Raiders $2.70 (+6.5) / Sydney Roosters $1.47 (-6.5)

The Raiders continued their dismal form last week with a loss at home to the Tigers. The narrow 22-20 defeat was their fourth on the trot and enough to ensure that many fans are now questioning Ricky Stuart's coaching role. 

Canberra is one of the most out-of-form clubs in the league, having won only two of their past seven games, with those two wins against the equally last placed Cowboys and Bulldogs. 

In contrast, the Roosters, have won eleven of their last thirteen games, with four of those wins against top-eight teams. 

The Chooks showed they have more than one dimension to their attack, defeating the Bunnies without injured star five-eighth Luke Keary, who will miss the next two weeks.  

With Chooks enforcer Jared Waerea-Hargraves out with a rib injury for up to four weeks, Roosters coach Trent Robinson will be looking to QLD Origin front-rower Dylan Nappa to lead from the front. 

Roosters' fans beware. The Roosters have lost seven of their last nine matches at GIO Stadium, with their last win back in 2010. 

NRL Player In  E Guler (Raiders), N Butcher (Roosters)

NRL Player Out  J Murchie (Raiders), J Waerea-Hargreaves (Roosters)

NRL Weather  Mostly sunny and 12 degrees.

NRL Stats  Key NRL stats

  • Average points scored per game: Raiders 24.2 / Roosters 22.8
  • Average points conceded per game: Raiders 23.6 / Roosters 15.0
  • Canberra have won the last games against the Chooks, both at GIO Stadium

NRL Betting Tip Key NRL Betting Stats

  • Sydney have covered the line at 61.9% this season: Roosters -6.5 @ $1.90 
  • Latrell Mitchell (6) leads both clubs in first try scorers this season: Latrell Mitchell  first try @ $10
  • Clashes at GIO Stadium have averaged 42.1 total match points: Under match line of 43.5 points @ $1.90

NRL Betting Tip  NRL Betting Tip: Roosters to cover the line of -6.5 @ $1.90

Reasoning: While the Roosters have a poor record against the Raiders at GIO Stadium, it's unlikely that history will repeat this week. The Raiders have been poor at home this season winning only 50% of their games, all of which were against teams in the bottom-eight. 

With the minor premiership and a home final on the line, expect the Chooks to come out firing, proving too classy in the latter stages of this game. 

                                                                             NRL Betting Tip  = High Confidence

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  • Each winning tip score equals the price of the team at the time the tip is submitted as appearing on your tipping screen.
  • If no prices are available, the score for a winning tip will equal the starting price of the winning team at Sportsbetting.com.au
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  • For AFL, Super Rugby and Mitre 10 Rugby competitions - No points are awarded for drawn games.
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Margin Games
  • For one match in each round you will be required to enter a margin. The margin represents the amount that you predict your selected team will win by. Your margin score will be used to determine the winner of a round or the entire competition if the tipping scores are equal. The lower your margin score the better.
  • Calculating margins

    If the team you tip wins the match, your margin score is the difference between the actual margin in the Full Time Score that the team you tipped won by, and the margin your entered. For example if you tipped Australia

    Full time score Australia 54 vs Italy 6
    Margin entered 36
    Actual Margin 48
    Margin Score 48 - 36 = 12

    If the team you tipped loses the match, your margin score is the actual margin plus the margin entered. For example if you tipped Italy:

    Full time score Australia 54 vs Italy 6
    Margin entered 6
    Actual Margin 48
    Margin Score 48 + 6 = 54

  • If a tipper does not submit a tip for a game they are awarded the away team.
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Standard Tipping Rules (Points Game)
  • Picks are entered for each game in a round. 1 point is awarded for picking the winner of the match.
  • A bonus 3 point are awarded for picking a perfect round.
  • For NRL picking - If the match is a draw at full time, 1 point is awarded for selecting the winner of the golden point play off. If it is still a draw after golden point no points are awarded for the game.
  • For AFL, Super Rugby and Mitre 10 Rugby competitions - If the match result is a draw, no points are awarded for picks in the match.
  • For A-League/EPL you must select the 'Draw' to receive 1 point when the match results in a draw. If you select a team in a drawn match you will receive no points for the match.
  • A margin score is required to be entered for one match in each round. The margin represents the amount that you predict your selected team will win by. Your margin score will be used to determine the winner of a round or the entire contest if the scores are equal. The lower your margin score the better the entrant is deemed to have performed.
Score Margin Information
  • For one match in each round you will be required to enter a score margin. The margin represents the amount that you predict your selected team will win by. Your margin score will be used to determine the winner of a round or the entire competition if the picking scores are equal. The lower your margin score the better.

  • Calculating margins

    If the team you pick wins the match, your margin score is the difference between the actual margin in the Full Time Score that the team you picked won by, and the margin you entered. For example, if you picked New Zealand in the following scenario:

    Full time score New Zealand 54 vs Australia 6
    Margin entered 36
    Actual Margin 48
    Margin Score 48 - 36 = 12

    If the team you picked loses the match, your margin score is the actual margin plus the margin entered. For example, if you picked Australia for the same scenario:

    Full time score New Zealand 54 vs Australia 6
    Margin entered 6
    Actual Margin 48
    Margin Score 48 + 6 = 54
  • If a entrant does not submit a pick for a game, they are assigned the away team as their pick for that game.
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  • For competitions where entrants enter a margin, the margin score will be used to determine the winner of a round or the overall competition if the pick scores are equal. For example if two entrants share 1st place on 100 points, the entrant with the lowest margin score will be the winner.
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